Blasingame’s 2014 Crystal Ball Predictions

Jim Blasingame

Here are my predictions for 2014

Prediction: Five years after the end of the Great Recession, U.S. economic growth will average no more than 3% in 2014.

Prediction: Small businesses will benefit from the economic growth, but will continue to report optimism levels below the NFIB Index’s 40-year average of 100 points.

Prediction: Small businesses will continue reluctance to take growth risks, producing the sixth straight year of low levels of investment and bank loans.

Prediction: With uncertainty about the impact of Obamacare lasting through Q4, small businesses will continue their reluctance to hire.

Prediction: More significant than the U3 household unemployment percentage, the employment participation rate, currently 63%, will remain at the lowest levels since the Carter administration.

Prediction: The Fed will follow through and reduce the unprecedented quantitative easing (QE) that has infused trillions of dollars into the economy (primarily Wall Street) since 2008.

Prediction: Incoming Fed Chairman, Janet Yellen, will promote policies that will be friendlier to the twin pillars of Main Street: small businesses and community banks.

Prediction: A combination of Fed QE tapering, a cooling global economy, and continued Obamacare disruptions will produce a challenging year for Wall Street.

Prediction: Like watching a train wreck in slow motion, Obamacare will produce a kind of national economic double jeopardy of real damage to millions of people, and continued uncertainty for everyone else.

Prediction: After over a dozen arbitrary and unilateral changes to Obamacare by the Obama administration, with more to come in 2014, Constitutional challenges will manifest as lawsuits.

Prediction: Democrats running for re-election will run from the president, making 2014 a lonely year for him.

Prediction: Only one thing will overcome the record low polling numbers of Congressional Republicans enough to propel them to regain control of the Senate while maintaining a majority in the House in the mid-term elections—Obamacare.

Prediction: President Obama will win the debt ceiling and immigration debates, but will lose on raising minimum wage.

Prediction: Hillary Clinton will announce her 2016 presidential intentions, but not until after the mid-term elections.

Prediction: Auburn will defeat Florida State in the BCS Championship Game.

Write this on a rock ...The die is cast: Obamacare will be the most pervasive financial, economic, and political factor in America in 2014.

For a short video from Jim on this topic, click here.


Jim Blasingame is creator and host of the Small Business Advocate Show. Copyright 2013, author retains ownership. All Rights Reserved.

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